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Monday, June 16, 2025

US Small Business Confidence Increases to 98.8, Equity Futures Rise 0.1%

### Key Moments in the Market

On Tuesday, US stock futures displayed mixed signals, indicative of the underlying complexities affecting investor sentiment. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 futures rose by approximately 0.1%, suggesting a cautious optimism within the markets. However, Dow futures returned to flat levels after a momentary dip, reflecting an atmosphere of uncertainty as traders weighed various economic indicators.

### US Market Overview

As market participants prepared for pivotal trade discussions between the United States and China, the mood was one of tempered anticipation. Nasdaq 100 futures advanced by 0.13%, reaching 21,850.50, while the S&P 500 e-minis inched up by 0.09%. Contrarily, Dow futures exhibited relative stability after rebounding from a decline that briefly took them below the 42,700 mark.

Recent trading sessions on Wall Street set the stage for these pre-market movements. The S&P 500 managed a slight increase of nearly 0.1%, marking a continuation of its winning streak for the second consecutive day. The Nasdaq Composite followed suit, climbing approximately 0.3%, while the Dow closed at 42,761.76.

![Market Overview](https://www.tradingpedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot-23203.webp)

### Eyes on Trade Diplomacy

A significant focus for market players is the ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China. These discussions, which resumed Tuesday morning following a round held on Monday, are crucial for determining the future of trade relations between the two economic powerhouses. Investors are carefully monitoring any developments that could provide an avenue to avert substantial import tariffs that have been under discussion.

This cautious atmosphere is rooted in a backdrop of previously agreed-upon measures intended to reduce levies for a 90-day period—an agreement praised as a step forward amid escalating tensions. However, accusations of non-compliance by both parties have emerged, leading to a shaky trust in the negotiations. Interestingly, the cautious sentiment among investors has not translated to a willingness to offload stocks, showcasing a complex interplay between hope and anxiety.

### US Small Business Optimism Sees First Rise Since Last Year

Turning to domestic economic indicators, American small businesses have reported a noteworthy increase in confidence as of May, a development seen as a positive shift in overall sentiment. This boost may be attributed to a perceived easing of trade tensions, providing a more favorable environment for small enterprises.

According to recent findings by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB), the Small Business Optimism Index rose three points in May, reaching 98.8. This upward movement marks the first significant improvement in the index since the end of the previous year, highlighting the resilience of small businesses as they navigate an ever-changing commercial landscape.

In summary, as traders digest mixed signals from stock futures and closely watch trade talks, the growing optimism among small businesses adds another layer to the complex narrative of the current economic environment.

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